Author: David Bandurski

Now Executive Director of the China Media Project, leading the project’s research and partnerships, David originally joined the project in Hong Kong in 2004. He is the author of Dragons in Diamond Village (Penguin), a book of reportage about urbanization and social activism in China, and co-editor of Investigative Journalism in China (HKU Press).

White Smoke, Black Smoke

With the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party just months away, we can expect to divine certain shifts in the official discourse at the highest levels. It is a time of speculation and uncertainty. Like anxious spectators in St. Peter’s Square, watching the tiny chimney atop the roof of the Sistine Chapel, we can only fix our eyes on the People’s Daily. White smoke. Black Smoke.

This may seem an imperfect analogy. But China’s politics are as sealed as a conclave. And no one reading the party-state media closely these days can fail to note the devotional quality of much of the language.

The China Media Project has noted previously that one of the most important shifts to observe is the continued elevation of that unwieldy banner term, “Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for the New Era.” For the general secretary to be “crowned” this way in 2017, with the inclusion of his name in a guiding ideology written into the Party Charter, was no small achievement. But the man’s ambition is for Mao-style pontifical grandeur, and he surely covets the condensed “Xi Jinping Thought” (习近平思想) – a rhetorical gem to secure his power and prestige.

So, what news from the conclave? Is the discourse moving Xi Jinping further toward his crowning achievement?

Holding the Keys to Marxism

Over the weekend and into this week, several smoke signals of interest have emerged. June 11 brought the first wisps in the form of a page-four article in the People’s Daily relaying recent remarks made from Huang Kunming (黄坤明), director of the Central Propaganda Department and a close associate of Xi’s.

In a speech to a forum in Jiangxi province last Friday on the study and implementation of “Xi Thought” (my shortening), Huang reportedly said that the banner concept is “based on Chinese practice and rooted in Chinese soil,” and that it “has put forward a series of landmark new ideas, new perspectives and new assertions, leading the Party and the state in making historic achievements and changes.” Xi’s theories had not only laid the foundation for change in China, but amounted, said Huang, to “a new leap in the Sinicization of Marxism.”

Coverage in the People’s Daily on June 11, 2022, of a speech by Huang Kunming, the CCP’s minister of propaganda.

The significance of Huang’s remarks lies in the act of flattery itself. This is a textbook example of what is called in Chinese biaotai (表态), or “loyalty signaling.” While it is something we have seen from a number of local CCP leaders in recent months, Huang Kunming’s act of biaotai is more senior-level – exactly the sort of thing we should expect to see, barring a reversal of fortunes for Xi, as the CCP Congress draws nearer.

China’s politics are as sealed as a conclave. And no one reading the party-state media closely these days can fail to note the devotional quality of much of the language.

But the emphasis on Xi as an innovator of Marxism deserves attention too. It is an important aspect of the man’s progressive elevation beyond the grasp of worldly politics, and into the spiritual realm of historic greatness. Just as Mao’s adaptation of Marxism to local conditions made possible an historic victory in the “new democratic revolution,” so too does Xi’s bold innovation of Marxism in the 21st century mark him as a revolutionary leader in his own right, with the theoretical heft needed to meet the challenges of a “New Era.”

We are accustomed to talking of “Xi Jinping Thought” as an act of crowning, or guanming (冠名). But this claim to Marxist innovation is more than earthly; it is spiritual. It promises transcendence beyond the untidy plane of immediate politics and policy. Two years ago, He Yiting (何毅亭), the deputy director of the Central Party School, went so far as to claim on the front page of the Study Times journal that Xi Jinping’s banner term was not only a fresh vision of Chinese Marxism, but in fact “Marxism for the 21st century.”

Huang Kunming’s is one important voice from the conclave. And if Xi Jinping can manage to be anointed as the pontiff of global Marxism – as the keeper of the keys – then he becomes far more difficult to touch.

Xi Jinping in the Soul

The propaganda chief’s bow to the general secretary was followed on Monday by a full-page spread in the People’s Daily that delivered the complimentary remarks of a further six senior CCP officials. These too had been made at the Jiangxi forum. A note introducing them stressed that understanding the immensity of “Xi Thought” was a crucial matter of “enhancing political and theoretical consciousness” for CCP members.  

Page 9 of the People’s Daily on June 13, 2022, with praise for Xi Jinping from six senior officials.

Leading the group of kingmakers was Yi Qinhong (易炼红), the top Party leader of Jiangxi province, and the local host of the event. The subhead announcing Yi’s remarks could hardly have been clearer in its signaling simultaneously of the need for both the crown and the halo. “Leading the Reform and Development of Jiangxi with the Banner of Thought and the Banner of Spirit,” it read.   

“Ideas are power, and banners are direction,” the tribute began. Here it was again, the dualism of loyalty and faith so essential to the elevation of Xi Jinping.

For some, this pairing may be familiar as encoded in another key phrase, the “Two Establishes” (两个确立). That phrase emerged during the Sixth Plenum last year, which brought the CCP’s powerful third resolution on its history. One important passage read:

For the Party to establish the status of Comrade Xi Jinping as the core of the Party’s Central Committee and of the whole Party, and to establish the guiding role of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for the New Era, expresses the deepest wishes of the whole Party, the whole military, and the peoples of the whole country.

This language encodes the dual necessity of power in two unshakeable principles: 1) that Xi Jinping must be the single, unquestionable leader of the Party, and that 2) his ideas must be taken as the Party’s gospel, the source of its legitimacy in the 21st century.

It is no surprise, therefore, when Yi Qinhong says, with all the reverence of a supplicant, that we must “profoundly comprehend the decisive significance of the ‘Two Establishes.'” Immediately after, he stresses that the “Two Safeguards” (两个维护) – the preservation of Xi’s “core” status and CCP rule –  should “enter our veins, and be cast into our souls.”

Great Leaps for Marxism

Huang Kunming spoke about “Xi Thought” as “a new leap in the Sinicization of Marxism.” In the joint remarks appearing on Monday in the People’s Daily, every one of these powerful men spoke of the same “leap,” or feiyue (飞跃) – which might also be translated “breakthrough.” In this they were taking their cues again from the November resolution, which uses the word to mark the immense significance of Xi’s ideas.

Printed just to the right of Yi Qinhong’s remarks were those of Wang Weiguang (王伟光), a member of the Standing Committee of the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC). Mao Zedong, said Wang, had made the “first historic leap in the Sinicization of Marxism,” followed by the key leaders of the reform era, Deng Xiaoping, Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao. These three are huddled together in Wang’s remarks, reducing their collective stature. Xi Jinping, meanwhile, is in a league of his own. Since the 18th National Congress of the CCP in 2012, we are told, Xi has achieved, single-handedly, yet another “new leap” in the Sinicization of Marxism.

There are few notable differences in the substance of the six tributes. But the crucial point is the ceremony itself. When Fu Hua (傅华), the newly-appointed president and CCP chief of Xinhua News Agency, makes the grandiose claim in the next speech that “Xi Jinping Thought” is the “most important crystallization of human thought in our time,” this is not the conviction of a thinker; it is the declaration of a man of faith.

Fu is followed at Xi Jinping’s feet by Shi Taifeng (石泰峰), the top official at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS); Xia Weidong (夏伟东), the publisher of Seeking Truth journal (which for months on end has dutifully headlined itself with Xi wisdom); Fang Jiangshan (方江山), deputy editor-in-chief of the People’s Daily; and Zhuang Zhaolin (庄兆林), the head of the provincial propaganda department of Jiangxi.

Practical Acts of Deference

The forum in Jiangxi, dealing topically with “Xi Jinping Thought,” was an opportunity for collective biaotai. But similar acts of obeisance should follow across the country as the fall Congress draws nearer. And there were further hints on Tuesday, as Li Qiang (李强), Shanghai’s top leader and long a close ally of Xi, hosted a forum to celebrate past visits to the city by the general secretary.

A readout of the event posted the same day on the government’s official WeChat public account, “Shanghai Release” (上海发布), stressed the need to “steadily enhance loyalty to the ‘Two Establishes,’” “maintaining a high-level of uniformity in thought, politics and action with the CCP Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping as the core.”

It was essential, said Li Qiang, for officials to “take practical action to greet the successful opening of the 20th Party Congress.” His act of loyalty signaling this week was an example of practical action. So far, he has seemed unbruised, at least within the Party, by the extreme failures of the lockdown in Shanghai. His fortunes will be something to observe closely as the year progresses. Will his deference to Xi be repaid, or will he be viewed as a liability?

Acts of deference and reverence should continue apace in the coming weeks, as we cross the threshold of the July 1 CCP anniversary (expect robust commemoration of last year’s commemoration) and head toward the Congress that could decide the direction of Chinese politics for a generation to come.

Acts of deference and reverence should continue apace in the coming weeks, as we cross the threshold of the July 1 CCP anniversary.

In another hint of smoke yesterday, Le Yucheng (乐玉成), the new head of the National Radio and Television Administration (NRTA), emphasized the imperative of loyalty to Xi Jinping when he said that officials must “focus on the core, maintain the core, and promote the core.” This again might have been a practical act of loyalty signaling. Until recently, Le was a deputy minister of foreign affairs. His sudden move to the NRTA could be read as a demotion, suggesting his work in the foreign ministry had left something to be desired.  

At such political moments, acts of faith and contrition befit the acolyte. And so Le Yucheng said at the training session that it was important for his ministry, overseeing the ideological fronts of television and radio, to steadily lift its chin to the heavens, acting as “a firm believer and active disseminator of the latest theoretical achievements in the Sinicization of Marxism.”

A Steep Drop for China’s Journalists

When the All-China Journalists Association (ACJA) released its 2022 China Journalism Development Report (中国新闻事业发展报告) on May 16, detailing broader trends in the media sector, state media outlets noted that one of the key trends was the rapid pace of convergence – and the development of multimedia (多媒体) platforms, or “omnimedia” (全媒体), that combine text, sound, image, animation and other content forms.  

In recent years, China’s leadership has repeatedly emphasized “convergence” as a priority in the re-making of the party-state media system, necessitating more creative deployment of propaganda and “public opinion guidance” through multimedia platforms.

But another key trend that was played down in much official coverage of the report was the dramatic impact digital transformation has had on the scale of journalism in the country. As coverage on some WeChat public accounts in recent days has noted, the ACJA report actually revealed – when compared with past reports – a net loss of fully one quarter of China’s licensed journalists over the past decade, with regional media leading the downward charge.

A Downsizing Profession

In the eight years from 2014 to 2021, the total number of media personnel with valid press cards (记者证) fell from 258,000 to 194,000, a decline of just under 25 percent. This translates to a total loss of 64,000 journalists across the country during that period.

Regional media have been hit hardest, with a loss of above one quarter of licensed journalists (25.9%). Central media, which include the likes of the People’s Daily, Xinhua News Agency and China Central Television, have lost just over 15 percent of licensed journalists.

SOURCE: ACJA’s China Journalism Development Report, 2014 and 2022.

Closures of both newspapers and radio and television outlets have no doubt exerted significant downward pressure on media employment. In 2014, there were 110,000 journalists employed at newspapers, according to that year’s ACJA report. By 2021, that number had dropped to just 78,000, meaning almost a 30 percent reduction in the journalist workforce (32,000 journalists) on the print side alone.

Radio and television outlets lost an equal number of licensed journalists, accounting for 21.6 percent of their 2014 press card carrying workforce of 148,000.

Press cards, or xinwen jizhezheng (新闻记者证), are required for media staff formally employed by news organizations and tasked under contract with news gathering activities, and are one of the crucial means by which the government seeks to place curbs on news gathering. The cards, which are issued only after reporters have received training in the mandates imposed by the Chinese Communist Party, are verified on an annual basis, and can be withdrawn for various reasons, including violations of political discipline.

Aging and Converging

Another clear trend in this year’s ACJA report, glossed over in official coverage of the numbers, is that licensed journalists under the age of 30 in China today number just 14,000 nationwide. This is down from 40,000 eight years ago, which means that one-third as many young journalists are licensed today than were less than a decade ago.

According to the report, licensed journalists under the age of 30 currently account for just 7.27 percent of total licensed journalists in China.

One important reason behind the sharp downward trend in the number of licensed journalists, particularly at the regional level, is the shuttering of traditional outlets, including many of the commercial metropolitan newspapers that once thrived in the heyday of print advertising a decade ago. The rapid development of digital media since the early 2000s has decimated the print advertising market.

Another likely reason is the very “convergence” trend cited more prominently in official coverage of the ACJA report last month. Under the centralized model advanced by the leadership, multimedia content is increasingly created not through local and regional news outlets, but rather through “media convergence centers” (融媒体中心) that package material for multiple platforms. The result of this trend is likely to be increasing centralization of the release of news across the country, with party-state controlled centers generating a greater proportion of content. And centralization means less demand for the press cards required for journalists to engage in news gathering.

Xinhua’s Innovative Party Man

In a formal acknowledgement of rumors already circulating online last week, official sources and state media confirmed late yesterday that the top position at China’s official Xinhua News Agency will now be held by Fu Hua (傅华), a long-time veteran of Chinese Communist Party (CCP) media who served four years (2010-2014) as deputy propaganda chief for the city of Beijing, and nearly two years (2018-2020) as the top propaganda official in Guangdong province.

Returning to the work in the official media in April 2014, after nearly seven years in the Beijing propaganda structure at the district and city levels, Fu joined the Beijing Daily, first as CCP secretary (党组书记), and later as publisher (社长). Both roles put him directly in charge of maintaining political discipline at the paper, the official organ of the Beijing municipal committee of the CCP. It was also in 2014, after Fu’s arrival, that the committee-run media conglomerate Beijing Daily Media Group launched Capital News (长安街知事), one of the earliest and most successful experiments in the remaking of Party mouthpieces for the new media era.

A formal announcement of Fu Hua’s appointment as president of Xinhua News Agency is included in a routine State Council notice of appointment changes yesterday.

After spending just under a year in 2017 as editor-in-chief of the Economic Daily (经济日报), a CCP paper directly under the State Council, Fu Hua left Beijing in March 2018 for Guangdong, where he was appointed as the provincial minister of propaganda, replacing Shen Haixiong (慎海雄), currently head of China’s umbrella CCP media conglomerate, the China Media Group (CMG).

In February 2020, at the height of the Covid-19 outbreak in Wuhan, Fu Hua was transferred back to Beijing and appointed a deputy minister of the Central Propaganda Department. Seventeen months later, in July last year, he was appointed Xinhua’s editor-in-chief.

Innovative Party Man?

Some believe that Fu Hua’s rapid promotion through the ranks of the country’s chief CCP-run news agency stems from a belief in his unique abilities as a media official who has experience within Beijing’s deeply political media culture as well as Guangdong’s more commercially-driven media culture.

Not surprisingly, Fu has emphasized the fundamental “Party nature” of the media in China, stressing the principle, tracing back to Mao Zedong, of “politicians running the newspapers” (政治家办报) – which under Xi Jinping’s reasserted controls has been iterated as “Party newspapers are surnamed Party” (党报姓党).

Fu has also given great priority, however, to Xi Jinping’s notion of “telling China’s story well” (讲好中国故事), and the need to find new ways for the CCP to control the heights of public opinion, not just domestically but globally, through compelling narratives. In remarks in November last year on the telling of China’s story, Fu Hua made reference to Xi Jinping’s first major speech on propaganda and ideology on August 19, 2013 – and to the need for propaganda officials to “be bolder in raising the banner and showing their swords” (大胆地举旗亮剑).

“This is the propaganda that can be seen,” Fu said. “But on the other hand we must do the propaganda that cannot be seen.”

Shades of Hostility

Last month, a set of questionable illustrations included in primary school mathematics textbooks in China sparked a fierce debate online over quality control and curriculum standards. Most agreed that the illustrations, included in texts published by the People’s Education Press, were in poor taste. One image showed a schoolgirl with her underwear exposed; another a student being grabbed from behind.

But in a sign of how quickly tensions within Chinese society can lead to caustic speculation about foreign influence and infiltration, particularly in the midst of charged relations with the United States and the West, many Chinese saw the tell-tale signs of a foreign conspiracy, despite the fact that internal standards of political discipline within media and publishing in China are among the strictest in the world.

While such nationalistic readings of the affair were not broadly representative of Chinese public opinion, and did not appear directly in mainstream CCP media, they were influential enough to merit a cautionary comment from one of China’s most inveterately anti-Western commentators, former Global Times editor-in-chief Hu Xijin (胡锡进). In a post over the weekend, Hu welcomed an investigation announced by the Ministry of Education, but also indicated just how sensitive political nerves have become in China when he said he hoped that the investigation could “remain factual, and avoid the expansion of rectification [efforts].”

Using the highly loaded historical term “position,” or zhengdi (阵地) – suggesting ideological ground that must be held against the enemy – Hu said the errors were not an indication that “ideological positions have been lost, and educational positions taken over by hostile forces.” Instead, said Hu, the errors in were “likely to have been the result of management-level problems.” He let the cat out of the bag in terms of ultimate responsibility as he said: “It is important to recognize that the position of Chinese education is generally solid, and the entire publishing industry has long been under the leadership of the Party and in the hands of those who love the Party and love the nation.”

How did this odd affair evolve? And why did it prompt such an outpouring of nationalistic fury?

Artistic Standards and Infiltration

The controversy kicked off on May 25, as users on Chinese social media shared images from the mathematics textbooks in question. Discussions centered initially on aesthetic considerations: Were the images acceptable, or were they simply ugly?

One early post to Weibo that day noted the oddness of the illustrations and urged further investigation of the causes. “I took out my math textbooks and had a look, and I really hadn’t noticed before how the people’s eyes were less spirited than those of cats, dogs or monkeys,” they wrote. “This happens not just once or twice, but everywhere . . . In some the gazes are indifferent, in others the eyes rolling, or askant, not really looking at things or taking them in. The whole thing feels weird.”

A post to Weibo on May 25 notes the oddness of illustrations in Chinese textbooks.

“With so many children in the country using these texts, what is the reason for this?” the post asked. “This is a big deal, something that can’t just be passed over. There needs to be an investigation and explanation.”

Another post to Weibo at 10:28AM that day reflected generally on textbook illustrations in China, including images of the mathematics textbook illustrations that would soon be national news as well as others they felt were problematic. “The illustrations in new textbooks, whether for adults or for children, all have wide eye spacing, puffy eyes, and a puffy appearance, and mouths that are as puffy as those of dogs,” the post read. “Children are the future of our country, so what is the intention in encouraging such aesthetics in children?”

A Weibo post late in the morning on May 25 shares textbook illustrations with alleged foreign bias and asks: “Do publishers not review these books?”

The post also bemoaned the fact that the images for professions such as doctors, lawyers and professors in children’s textbooks were often those of foreigners. “Do publishers not review these books?” they asked.

As the comments gathered, so did the outrage, and by May 26, the People’s Education Press images were becoming a full-blown national controversy. As many media would eventually note, including Hangzhou’s Metro Express (都市快报), the textbook illustrations controversy accounted for seven of the top 10 search results in China that day.

Just before 10AM on May 26, “Sichuan Observation” (四川观察), the official Weibo account of Sichuan Radio and Television (SCTV), the provincial government broadcaster, posted a video about the brewing controversy over the textbook illustrations, asking its eight million followers to weigh in with their views. Respondents expressed strong disapproval of the images, many saying that they affected the healthy development of children. “Textbook illustrations in the past were much better,” one wrote. “Now these children in the illustrations all look like they have intellectual disabilities. It’s ridiculous and leaves me speechless, and someone really needs to look into this. It distorts the aesthetics of children.”

Screenshot of a video summary of the brewing textbook illustration scandal on the official account of Sichuan Radio and Television on May 26.

Just minutes later, the SCTV video post was shared by the official account of the well-known magazine China News Weekly (中国新闻周刊), which has more than 60 million followers on Weibo. As users there commented on the images, speculations about a foreign conspiracy became more prevalent.  

Some users pointed out that children in the illustrations were wearing clothes sporting stars-and-stripes patterns reminiscent of the American flag. The focus on this and other such details prompted many to conclude that the images showed an adoration of American culture while looking down on more natively Chinese representations. “This is not a problem of artistic standards but a problem of ideology,” wrote one respondent. “The problem of ideological infiltration of education is really serious. Do you really not get this?”

A selection of furious comments under a Weibo post about mathematics textbook illustrations on May 26, 2022.

Just after noon on May 26, the People’s Education Press issued a statement through its official Weibo account saying that it acknowledged the criticisms online, and that it was taking steps to review the illustrations in question and “further improve design quality.” But many internet users continued to reject the suggestion that this was about aesthetic standards at all.

“The problem of ideological infiltration of education is really serious. Do you really not get this?”

comment on Chinese social media

“You make this out as about ‘artistic standards’? That really is making light of the serious!” read one furious comment on Weibo. “You bring shame to the word ‘people’ appearing in your name,” said another immediately after, vaguely invoking an ideological struggle behind the scenes.

Anger was also heaped on the illustrator responsible for the images.

Internet users had revealed quite quickly on May 25 that the images had been made by Beijing Wu Yong Design Studio (北京吴勇设计工作室), a group run by the graphic artist Wu Yong (吴勇), a graduate of the Central Academy of Arts and Crafts (later Tsinghua University’s Academy of Arts and Design). Wu had a varied design background that included book illustration. Many had pointed to a 2018 interview Wu had done with ZCOOL (站酷), a website for the designer community, that had included the mathematics illustrations among other work.

Screenshot of 2018 interview by ZCOOL of designer Wu Yong, whose studio created the People’s Education illustrations that angered many Chinese.

These biographical details, including many of Wu’s comments on design, were reported widely on May 26 by a range of media, including The Paper, which pulled out a kicker quote from Wu that came across as highly ironic given the outrage cresting online over the designer’s depiction of schoolchildren: “And so, it is among students that we most see the heart of the child. They have ideals in their hearts, pure passion and flickering sparks of wisdom. This is such a precious thing!”

These words from four years earlier contrasted starkly with the denunciations that continued online. “The ugliness of these pictures really conveys the chaotic intention behind, showing how vile the designer really is!” one user wrote in the comment space under a post by the Weibo account of Computer Weekly. “Is this Wu Yong not a traitorous dog?” asked another just below.

Hostile Conspiracies

On top of the growing list of supposedly foreign-inspired elements in the illustrations themselves, the details of Wu Yong’s background fueled conspiracies about foreign infiltration. In the ZCOOL interview, Wu had been identified as a member of the Alliance Graphique Internationale (AGI), a global club of graphic designers, and also as “artistic adviser” for the Beijing office of the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF). These completely circumstantial details were taken as evidence of foreign collusion. Meanwhile, further reporting into Wu’s studio, such as a May 27 article from the Beijing Youth Daily revealing that it was not in fact registered as a commercial enterprise, further invited suspicion among the already suspicious.

On May 27, “Gathering Light Chronicle” (拾光纪事), a WeChat public account that frequently features anti-Western and anti-American content as well at attacks on more liberal media inside China, ran a provocative post called “The Infiltration of Textbook Illustrations by Hostile Forces, A Secret Conspiracy of Cultural Colonization,” which highlighted Wu Yong’s UNICEF connection. “The Wu Yong Design Studio that did the layout and illustration is backed as an artistic adviser by UNICEF, a foundation dedicated to promoting the LGBT movement among our country’s youth population,” the post read.

The post also compared Wu Yong’s illustrations in the mathematics text with more “normal” illustrations in a language text – the standard for normal apparently being those with more traditionally Chinese motifs. 

Textbook images posted to WeChat by “Gathering Light Chronicle” are shared on the Zhihu Q&A site

“I believe normal people would choose the drawing style on the left, because it is what we would call normal,” the post said. “No one likes the drawing style on the right because it is a weak-minded drawing style that deliberately scandalizes our Chinese children and deliberately promotes slave education to try to change our aesthetic standards by subtle means.”

Here, even before the question of ultimate foreign responsibility was posed, the reason for the existence of these hated textbook illustrations was implied. The term “slave education” (奴化教育) – used by the Chinese Communist Party throughout its past to criticize Japanese, American, British and other forms of colonialism – suggested that this was part of a process of systematic transformation and indoctrination by outsiders. “So, why is there such a big difference between the same version of the textbook?” the post continued. “There’s an answer to that, and it’s clearly intentional. This cannot be explained or washed away.”

The post then alleged that the textbook illustrations were “a trick of cultural colonization,” a clear-cut case of intrusion by “hostile forces” that had “infiltrated our education system and are recklessly changing our illustrations in an attempt to change our aesthetic standards.” For “Gathering Light Chronicle,” the core question was plain as day: “[How] did the hostile forces infiltrate our education system? How did such ghostly illustrations get so overtly into our textbooks?”

The post from “Gathering Light Chronicle” was shared by other sites, including the leftist website Utopia (乌有之乡). And there were similar posts from other accounts, including this May 27 post that waxed nostalgic about the textbooks of China’s past, adding a clear note of conspiracy. “Thinking back on these details, it’s like returning to our childhood, when illustrators had a positive outlook, did not receive funding from overseas NGOs, and apparently only tried to make the characters as simple and beautiful as possible.”

Mitigating Contexts

But much of the nationalist sentiment flaring up against the People’s Education Press illustrations concealed a very basic question. How could such apparently flagrant lapses in textbook illustration quality happen at a state-owned publisher? And how had this issue escaped notice for more than a decade, these very textbooks lingering in the homes of millions of Chinese families?

In a May 27 commentary on the incident through its social media accounts, the CCP’s official People’s Daily newspaper said that the design and writing of learning materials required “a fierce sense of responsibility and mission, strictly upholding a correct political direction and value orientation.” As many official news outlets noted, including Jimu News, a new media channel run by the provincial Hubei Daily, book publications in China must go through a strict review process that includes three rounds of close examination and three further proof-readings. These are meant to address major problems not just in terms of content and structure, but also in political and ideological direction.

How could such political standards not be upheld in the first place – under a system that has always prioritized such controls?

One problem, according to an editor interviewed by Jimu News, is that the focus on political and ideological issues at the level of the text means that images and illustrations are often neglected. “Pictures are generally drawn by illustrators, and this does not fall within the purview of reviews and controls,” the editor said.

In fact, illustrations may even be added to a book outside the review process altogether, meaning that they completely avoid this cycle of three reviews and three proofreads. “That’s why it’s easy to make mistakes,” said the editor. “I believe this incident will become the focus of training for publishers for related censorship and reviews from here on out.”

Some Chinese commenting on social media, including a number of artists and graphic designers, advanced other arguments that provided some context for why poor-quality design might happen, including details about the publishing industry and the design profession. In a post on May 25, a Beijing-based computer graphic artist with more than three million followers on Weibo responded to the then developing controversy over textbook illustrations by suggesting that one key problem was that publishers had not kept pace in their budgeting over the past 20 years, as the cost of quality design work had grown.

This post angered many internet users, who felt that this was “mopping the floor” (洗地) – or making convenient excuses for the guilty.

“I believe this incident will become the focus of training for publishers for related censorship and reviews from here on out.”

Textbook Editor

On May 27, Shanghai’s Guancha Syndicate published a post in which Fu Luola (傅洛拉), an author with experience in education, gave a rather even-handed assessment of various factors that might have led to the publication of the illustrations in question, and to the controversy that exploded this year. While acknowledging some of the budget considerations noted in the earlier post by the Beijing-based computer graphic artist, Fu Luola agreed that illustrations in this case were substandard. “It was certainly unacceptable for Wu Yong’s studio to release works like this,” they wrote.

Fu suggested, however, that the decisions behind the case were probably far more basic that the conspiracies entertained by many internet users, including understandable personal and professional relationships between people at the publishing house and Beijing Wu Yong Design Studio: “But on the publisher’s side, it is likely that the first step in committing this mistake was simply that a member of the math textbook writing team happened to have connections to the studio and blindly believed in its name and its ‘artistic sensibility.’”

The author affirmed the “importance of public oversight” in the industry to avoid “problematic public opinion events.” But also at play, they said, was the larger social and political context that textbook publishers and reviewers could not have anticipated more than 10 years ago.

Specifically, the author suggested that changes in societal views about “insults to China” and the deterioration of China-US relations had contributed to the animus against the illustrations. “A second [issue] is that the standpoints of evaluation are also changing as concepts in society change. Between 2012 and 2013, when this set of textbooks was being reviewed, there had been no concentrated cases of ‘squinting’ and other ‘insults to China’ of the kind that have caused a lot of controversy in recent years.”

Buried amid the heaps of social media discussion about illustration quality, ugliness and treachery, this simple point was perhaps one of the most perceptive. A general surge in animosity towards the United States and the West in China — stemming from growing international tensions but fueled also by calls in the leadership and state-run media against criticism, containment and perceived threats to “cultural security” — was almost certainly one of the key changes in context adding shades of hostility to the recent textbook illustration controversy.

But all reason aside, this measured reading of the case was rejected by many commenting below the Guancha Syndicate post, who chose to understand the incident as a serious assault on the country.

“They have violated the publishing laws and criminal laws!” one user wrote erroneously. “It’s not a matter of self-correction anymore! These people are simply a fifth column planted in China by the West!”


Paper Trails in the Digital Age

When China Computerworld (计算机世界) was launched in 1980, the magazine was one of the most positive and exciting media developments China had experienced in a generation. The country’s first information technology (IT) related publication, its success was premised, as its publisher would later say, on “providing readers with practical information.”

It was a simple positioning – this prioritizing of the reader. But against the backdrop of two decades of Maoist sloganeering in the media, it was also a revolutionary shift. Chinese media were slowly entering a new period of experimentation and openness to the world in the early 1980s, and China Computerworld was at the forefront of these changes, an early trailblazer of a media commercialization trend that would not gain full momentum for another 10 years.

So when this pioneer of media commercialization in China’s reform period announced in April this year that it would be formally closing up shop, the news bookended four decades of print media development. It was the fizzling out of a magazine that had once played an instrumental role in the growth of China’s IT industry – spearheading a trend that in decades to come would be its undoing, as new digital media eclipsed traditional outlets.  

In a notice dated April 27, 2022, China Computerworld announced that it would immediately cease operations and enter into labor arbitration with staff members who claimed wages in arrears. The notice began by noting the extreme difficulties that had come in the past two and half years as a result of the pandemic, which had resulted in “continuous and serious losses.”

In a notice dated April 27, 2022, China Computerworld announces to staff that it has ceased operations.

A Mass Media Extinction

But the uncomfortable fact was the China Computerworld was joining the long ranks of media that had either been folded into new digital operations – as Shanghai’s Oriental Morning Post had been in 2016 with the founding of a fully digital venture ironically called The Paper in English –  or had failed to make the transition to digital.

January 2016 had brought the closure of the Morning Express (今日早报), a commercial paper under the official Zhejiang Daily, of Hangzhou’s Metropolitan Weekly (都市周报), of the Jiujiang Morning Post (九江晨报) and the Daily Commercial News (天天商报). The next year brought the closure of the Beijing Times (京华时报) and the Oriental Morning Post (东方早报), the latter a commercial paper remembered for having broken news of the poisoned milk scandal after the 2008 Beijing Olympics. In 2018 there were countless closures, including of the Beijing Star Daily (北京娱乐信报), and of local commercial papers like the Xiangtan Evening News (湘潭晚报) in Hunan province. In 2019, the Beijing Morning Post (北京晨报), the Heilongjiang Morning Post (黑龙江晨报), Dalian’s New Commercial Post (新商报), and many others at the city and prefectural levels.

The global pandemic may have been the last chapter for some. But a mass extinction of print publications in China was already well underway by the time the virus was discovered in Wuhan in late 2019. Nearly all have been commercial newspapers, many launched in the late 1990s and 2000s as profitable spin-offs of Party-run newspapers across the country, at a time when print advertising was booming. By the 2010s, that market was already cratering, impacted by the rise of new digital platforms like Tencent’s WeChat.

In the 2020s, their former Party sponsors plod on, still supported with government funds, and still needed to conduct essential propaganda and “public opinion work.” But these commercial ventures, which in their own ways all took cues from the example first set by China Computerworld, are now confined to a fossil past in university libraries and digital archives.

The global pandemic may have been the last chapter for some. But a mass extinction of print publications in China was already well underway by the time the virus was discovered in Wuhan in late 2019. 

Rare Species: The Sino-Foreign Media Joint Venture

Launched as a joint venture between the now dissolved Ministry of the Electronics Industry and the US-based International Data Group (IDG), China Computerworld was also the first foreign-invested media venture in China – a rarity looking back on more than four decades during which foreign dreams of media access to the country have been elusive.

During a trip to China in March 1980, IDG founder and chairman Patrick McGovern entered into discussions with the Fourth Ministry of the Machinery Industry, which would eventually be reorganized as the Ministry of the Electronics Industry, about the possibility of launching a Chinese-language edition of his IT related magazine. Computerworld‘s publications around the world were at that time all owned or controlled by IDG. But McGovern’s efforts to push for the same arrangement in China were quickly rebuffed. China, which had just embarked on its reform and opening path, refused to allow more than 50 percent foreign ownership in a joint venture. The two sides eventually agreed that China would hold 51 percent, the remaining 49 percent to be held by IDG.

Then, as now, media were a point of sensitivity for China’s leadership. The sense from the top, however, was the Computerworld would deal primarily with IT issues, and would eschew politics. Moreover, the information it would share with readers would be essential to the introduction of advanced computer technology from the West. IDG’s investment was greenlighted, and by the fall of 1980 China Computerworld had been approved by the government, becoming the country’s first industry-focused publication and its first foreign investment in the media. When China’s government later prohibited foreign investment in the news media, the magazine became the only official Sino-US joint-venture magazine – a historical first, and last.

Through the 1980s the magazine was an example to follow for journalists and publishers who hoped to break new ground. Even as the country’s international relations soured and its media grew bitter and insular in the wake of the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre in Beijing, the magazine offered a crucial link with the outside. In April 1992, just weeks after Deng Xiaoping’s “southern tour,” which was to reinvigorate economic reforms (and bring a new commercial media renaissance), the CCP’s flagship People’s Daily newspaper noted China Computerworld as a bright spot of global engagement. The magazine’s “timely tracking of international [developments in] computer and high-tech,” the paper said, had made it “the most authoritative professional publication in our country’s computer industry.”

Profit and Professionalism

China Computerworld was sometimes also called the first “thick publication” (厚报) in the history of the People’s Republic of China. Unlike the Party-run dailies and weeklies of the 1980s (and even their commercial spin-offs of the 1990s), which might have anywhere from eight to 16 pages, the IT magazine could have at times up to 300 pages in a single issue, stuffed full not just of content but of advertising.

Through the 1980s the magazine was an example to follow for journalists and publishers who hoped to break new ground. 

But China Computerworld could also get tough with the IT companies about which it reported, and its advertisers – even the powerful ones – were not always spared.

In January 2000, the magazine ran an eight-page story about Legend Computer, later to be renamed Lenovo, that detailed the early rift in the 1980s between computer engineer Ni Guangnan (倪光南) and Liu Chuanzhi (柳传志), then an official at the Chinese Academy of Sciences. Called “The Painful Fracture” (痛苦的裂变), the lengthy investigative report revealed that Ni was in fact the founder of Legend, where Liu Chuanzhi had served as CEO (and identified himself as founder) since 1984. The China Computerworld report so infuriated Liu that Legend pulled nearly 20 million yuan in advertising – at the time the largest case of advertising withdrawn in China for critical reporting.

Ten years and a generation of technology later, the magazine infuriated another tech giant with a cover story called “Damned Tencent” (狗日的腾讯), which described Pony Ma’s Tencent as the internet’s public enemy, fueling bitter feuding within the industry and resorting to monopoly behavior. The feature story was brimful of bitter accusations from Tencent competitors. China Computerworld’s cover image was the iconic penguin symbolizing Tencent’s QQ service, but with three knives stabbing his plump cartoon body, drawing drops of bright red blood.

Cover of the “Damned Tencent” edition of China Computerworld from July 2010.

“This is Tencent, China’s top and the world’s number three internet company, a rare global full-service Internet company that does everything from instant messaging, portals, games, e-commerce, search and more. It is always quietly making preparations and appearing behind your back, popping out to stir up trouble at moments of opportunity, leaving its peers unsettled,” the story read.

The magazine then went for the jugular: “When the time is ripe, [Tencent] will ruthlessly seize its piece of the market, sometimes even acting like the Terminator to dominate the entire market.”

Tencent was understandably upset by the July 2010 cover story. But it received widespread support on the internet, and prompted China Computerworld to change its profile picture on Weibo to the same image of the bloody penguin. It was unusual feistiness for a publication majority owned by that time by the government’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT). But the magazine’s large base of readership with the internet industry, and among scholars and businesspeople, not to mention its enviable advertising revenue, meant that had more latitude in reporting about technology matters in China.

Falling Behind the Trends

Ultimately, though, it was Tencent that had the last laugh. Perhaps more than any other competitor in the past 10 years, the Chinese tech giant transformed the media landscape in ways that China Computerworld failed to anticipate.

From 2008 onwards, the development of new forms of internet communication, including Tencent’s powerful WeChat, launched in January 2011, would leave traditional media outlets in the dust. China Computerworld made a number of halting attempts at digital transformation, but these were ultimately unsuccessful. Wrote Shanghai’s Jiemian News, in what might be an apt epitaph for the magazine: “China Computerworld nurtured the growth of China’s IT industry, but its failure in the face of several internet transformations ultimately brought the publication down in front of its rivals.”

The last printed edition of China Computerworld, published in 2021.

In recent weeks, many internet users, particularly those in the IT industry, have expressed their sadness at seeing the once-celebrated magazine suffer the same fate as so many print publications from the golden era of the commercial press in China.

A few have blamed the closure of local newsstands in recent years for circulation drops that have hit print media hard. “The wave of newsstand removals in the past few years was a devastating blow to these paper magazines,” read one recent comment under a months-old story on newsstand closures by the online publishing platform 36kr. “I would always grab a copy of China Computerworld from the newsstands after work, but now I don’t even know where I can find [such a newsstand] anymore.”

Others were more resigned to the irreversible trends transforming the media. “There is nothing we can do about it,” one user commented under a story at Sina.com on the closure of China Computerworld. “The era of print media has passed, and all of them will fall under the onslaught of online media.”

Stella Chen contributed research for this story.

Curious Signals

On Wednesday afternoon, two days after the State Council introduced a 33-point plan to stabilize China’s struggling economy, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang (李克强) hosted a video conference that was reportedly attended by more than 100,000 government officials at all levels. According to an unofficial transcript of the call circulating on Chinese social media, National Development and Reform Commission head He Lifeng (何立峰) said ahead of Li’s conference speech that the economy had been weighed down since March by various “risks and challenges” including the ongoing pandemic and the “Ukraine crisis.”

The transcript indicated that economic pressures are in many ways worse than those experienced in 2020, and clearly signaled also that local government financing is in a difficult state. Li revealed at the conference, for example, that land-sale revenue, a crucial source of income for many local governments, is down nearly 30 percent in the recent few months, and that “recently several provinces have reported to the State Council that they will need to borrow money.”

A meeting of this scale is an extremely rare occurrence in China. Some chatter online has connected the conference historically with the so-called Seven Thousand Cadres Conference (七千人大会) of February 7, 1962, when Party officials from across the country gathered to address the dramatic failures of the Great Leap Forward (1958-1962), and Mao Zedong issued a self-criticism (检讨) in which he shouldered responsibility as chairman for the errors of the Central Committee.

It is a tempting comparison given recent signs in the official press that seem to some to indicate that Li Keqiang’s star is rising (as those of Liu Shaoqi and Deng Xiaoping did briefly in 1962), and that Xi Jinping might be facing political headwinds with the CCP. As I said in my analysis last week of People’s Daily front pages, trying to lower temperatures and slow heartbeats – “the signals abound, and confuse.”

Just six months ago, in the wake of a major CCP resolution on its history that paved the way for the general secretary’s political coronation this year with his “Xi Jinping Thought,” we might simply have expected his star to burner higher and brighter, an unquestioned Red Giant. Are we witnessing cosmic shifts in the politics of the Chinese Communist Party?

For now, we have rarities, but few certainties.

Certainly, the rarities continue, inviting all manner of speculation as we are just months ahead of the crucial CCP congress. The appearance online of the transcript from the Hundred Thousand Cadres Conference (if I may) is itself an extreme rarity. Then there are the apparent inconsistencies in reporting within the Party-run media, which would seem to indicate a rift in messaging within the leadership over the exact nature of the challenges facing the country.

While every indication from the transcript of remarks from Li and others yesterday is that China is in a serious situation requiring urgent solutions, there is little suggestion of this on the State Council’s own website. Neither an official transcript nor a more detailed readout has appeared today. What we have instead is a bland Xinhua News Agency release (Chinese HERE) in which Li stresses the need to “implement policies to stabilize [the] economy.” The release has nothing of the sense of urgency that comes through in the unofficial online transcript.

Another curiosity is an article posted online yesterday by the Economic Daily (经济日报), a central-level CCP newspaper directly under the State Council, and regarded as an important “public opinion position” (舆论阵地) for the Party in the conduct of its economic work. Called “Viewing the Current Economic Situation with a Comprehensive Dialectical View” (全面辩证看待当前经济形势), the article was run in full late last night by Xinhua, and today appears not just on the front page of the print edition of the Economic Daily, but also on page 11 of the CCP’s flagship People’s Daily.

The commentary “Viewing the Current Economic Situation with a Comprehensive Dialectical View” appears on the front page of today’s Economic Daily (left), and on page 11 of the flagship People’s Daily (right).

While Li’s transcript, full of specifics about the current situation, voices concern over the possibility of China’s economy slipping out of the “reasonable range” (合理增长), the Economic Daily piece calls lamely for “scientific judgement” (科学判断) of the situation, and for “firm confidence” (坚定信心). It responds with platitudes, urging a calmness and positivity that perhaps those provincial leaders approaching the State Council about cash infusions do not feel existentially.

“We should both scientifically and rationally recognize the current economic situation, grasping and coping with the impact of short-term fluctuations, and facing up to and addressing difficulties and pressures,” the article reads. “But [we] must also have longer-term cyclic understanding of the intrinsic laws and trends of the Chinese economy, grasping its potential, resilience and bottom-line strength.”

But aside from the marked different in tone and approach, we should note that while the Economic Daily commentary does allude to the April 29 meeting of the Politburo and Xi’s pledges of “macroeconomic policy adjustments,” it makes no mention whatsoever of the Hundred Thousand Cadres Conference yesterday. Nor does it mention Premier Li Keqiang.

These are curious signals in what we might now assume will be a curious year.

China’s George Floyd Anniversary

Today marks the second anniversary of the killing of George Floyd by police in Minneapolis, a case of violence and discrimination in law enforcement that saddened, angered and horrified the world. Remembrances and reflections are planned across the United States, and President Joe Biden will reportedly mark the day by signing an executive order mandating new use-of-force rules for federal law enforcement that will prompt local police departments to implement similar changes.

China’s state-run media are also commemorating the anniversary today. Not, mind you, out of respect for Floyd, or out of genuine concern for the safety and well-being of Black Americans. The Floyd anniversary is an opportunity to sucker punch the United States on its human rights record – precisely as global attention turns to the question of human rights in Xinjiang and the visit to the region this week by the UN’s human rights commissioner, Michelle Bachelet.

In a perfect choreographing of whataboutism on Monday, a Reuters reporter asked Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Wang Wenbin (汪文斌) for details about Bachelet’s visit during a regular press conference. Wang gave up nothing, saying only that Bachelet “will have broad exchanges with people from various sectors.” But when the official China News Service, directly under the CCP’s United Front Work Department, followed immediately after with a question about a recent Washington Post survey showing that 75 percent of Black Americans were fearful of hate crimes, Wang went on for several minutes, laying out a litany of human rights abuses.

“The ethnic minorities in the US have long suffered prevalent and systemic discrimination, which is a deep-seated illness of the US society,” said Wang. “Ethnic minorities including the Indigenous people, the people of African, Latin American and Asian descent, and Muslims, have long been victims of racial discrimination.”

Hitting numerous online channels in China today is a lengthy feature from the Guangming Daily, published by the Party’s Central Propaganda Department, that exploits the George Floyd case on the occasion of the second anniversary to expose what it calls “the death of human rights in the United States” (美国人权之殇). “Looking back at these two years, we can see right through the 246-year history of the United States to the real truth about American human rights,” the story reads. “After each storm in history passes, the tower of American human rights collapses back to its original form.”

True to form, the People’s Daily today devotes a strongly-worded commentary to the George Floyd anniversary. Attributed to “Zhong Sheng” (钟声), an official pen name used routinely for important pieces on international affairs on which the leadership wishes to register its view, the commentary is called “Minorities ‘Can’t Breathe’: Racism Runs Through the US Political System.”

On a day when Bachelet travels ineffectually across Xinjiang, offering foreign-friend photo ops for the state-run press (even as newly leaked police files detail the horrors of the region’s internment camps), the CCP’s flagship newspaper turns the voice of the UN on the United States. The “Zhong Sheng” commentary quotes UN Special Rapporteur E. Tendayi Achiume as saying that the US justice system “has failed to address racial injustice and discrimination.”

“Two years after the violent police killing of Floyd, the systematic racism in American society still makes many minorities feel ‘unable to breathe,’” the commentary concludes. “This is the reality of human rights in the United States. The US should face up to its own systemic racism and avoid the recurrence of human rights tragedies.”

In the most callous abuse of his memory, George Floyd will be exploited to distract from criticism of China’s own very real human rights problems.

Today much of the coverage and commemoration in the American and international press will indeed be about looking back and facing up. It will be about acknowledging – insufficiently and imperfectly, no doubt – the changes that must happen to make the United States a fairer society free of fear.

For China’s leaders, these painful reflections will be minted into further ammunition to volley back at the United States and the West, gainsaying the “irresponsible remarks” of foreign politicians who seek to smear China.

In the most callous abuse of his memory, George Floyd will be exploited to distract from criticism of China’s own very real human rights problems.

Obey the Party, Cut the Nonsense

In a meeting with local media on May 20, Sun Shaocheng (孙绍骋), the Party secretary of Inner Mongolia, emphasized that the news media are the mouthpieces of the Chinese Communist Party – and that they must “speak politics” and uphold “correct guidance of public opinion.”

But in a rare caution against the overuse of Party jargon and sloganeering, Sun also urged media to “change [their] style of writing” (改文风), achieving in practice the goal of “brevity, truth and novelty” (短, 实, 新). “The shorter the reports on my activities, the better,” Sun said. “Letting people know what was done is enough, then more space can be left for the people.”

“Speak the truth, and speak of real things that truly reflect the situation at the grassroots level,” Sun said. “Don’t bother saying those words that even you yourself do not believe.”

These remarks from Sun, who formerly served as deputy governor of Shandong province, are an interesting reflection of the challenges facing Party-state media as they try on the one hand to maintain loyalty to the CCP and to Xi Jinping – loyalty often signaled through dense official-speak – and on the other hand strive to remain relevant to increasingly savvy news consumers.

This is by no means a new issue. From the “news reform” (新闻改革) of the early 1980s, when media sought to throw off the “falsehood, bluster and emptiness” (假大空) of the press during the Cultural Revolution, to the commercialization drive of the 1990s and the “Three Closenesses” of the early 2000s, CCP leaders have sought to have their control and their development too — what could be called “bounded innovation.”

These innovations have always to a great extent been held back by the internal bureaucracy of the Party-led media, and by the imperative of public opinion controls. Officials, like Sun, have spoken periodically over the years about the need to simplify media reporting, or to cut down on dense and alienating rhetoric. But the inescapable fact is that news media in China are tethered like moons to the planet of Party-speak (提法) and its irresistible pull.

Politics on Page One

Reading China’s press for clues about the internal twists of Chinese politics can be a hazardous business. In July 2018, the Financial Times reported an “unusual reduction” in mentions of Xi Jinping in the Chinese Communist Party’s official People’s Daily – perhaps a clue to the general secretary’s changing political fortunes. “Last Monday, his name did not appear in any headline on the front page,” the paper reported, “the first such absence in five years, according to a count by independent Hong Kong newspaper Apple Daily.”

The count from Apple Daily was woefully inaccurate. In fact, since November 2012 there had been close to 500 front pages in the People’s Daily absent any mention of “Xi Jinping,” “Chairman Xi” or “general secretary.” In 2013 there had been 111 such front pages, in 2014, 74, and in 2015, 97. The numbers had steadily fallen as an atmosphere of worship had formed around Xi Jinping. In 2016, the year he was designated as the “core” leader, 88 front pages in the People’s Daily failed to mention the man or his titles. In 2017, that number was 73.

The Financial Times cites Apple Daily in July 2018 to note an “unusual reduction” in coverage of Xi Jinping.

Despite reports of an “unusual reduction,” there would be 20 front pages without Xi Jinping in 2018, the year following the 19th National Congress of the CCP. And still the center held. Xi’s power, and the cult of personality surrounding him, only grew.

It is a cautionary tale for the reader of tea leaves, and a tale to bear in mind as we address the reportedly strange and notable happenings this month in the Party’s flagship newspaper.

Significant Absences

According to some close observers of Chinese politics through the news page, Xi Jinping has been less prominent in recent weeks. The basic idea is that while the front page of the People’s Daily has very often in China’s “New Era” been all Xi all of the time, recent pages have played the general secretary down. There are fewer large headlines with his name, and there are fewer photographs as well. And in some cases he has been absent altogether.

There was even talk this week that Xi Jinping might have pulled back from public engagements, that he had not been seen since May 10. Adding fuel to the speculative fever were reported rumors on Chinese social media that the general secretary might be stepping down following harsh criticism of his alleged mismanagement of Covid-19. Alternatively, according to reports on the sketchy margins of the global media, he was suffering from a brain aneurysm.

Or, had Xi perhaps been sidelined by other senior officials as he championed – as was clear at the May 5 Politburo Standing Committee meeting – a “zero Covid” policy that many Chinese have found painful, and which has had deep economic ramifications? This has been a popular narrative in some Chinese-language outlets outside mainland China, which have suggested that Premier Li Keqiang (李克强) is enjoying a moment of ascendance, perhaps alongside PSC members like Wang Yang (汪洋).

Both Li and Wang were relatively prominent on the front page of Tuesday’s edition of the People’s Daily, with headlines about Li having a call with Pakistani Premier Shahbaz Sharif, and Wang Yang holding a meeting of the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC). The top article under the masthead stressed the importance of a stable market economy, an issue right in the premier’s wheelhouse. But there was no mention in the headlines of Xi Jinping.

No Xi Jinping on the front page of the Tuesday edition of the People’s Daily? What can it mean? Possibly: nothing.

Speculation was rife on Chinese social media too. Sharing the People’s Daily front page the same day, the former editor-in-chief of the Global Times newspaper, Hu Xijin, noted the importance of the focus on a stable economy, but seemed to point to signals in the leadership as well. “This is a very important signal,” he wrote. “[Those who] follow this signal, abandon doubt and uncertainty, and embrace new opportunities, will prove to be the true business heroes, and the heroes of our time.”

Hu’s reference to opportunities could be read as “person of new opportunities” (新的机遇者), and given the page’s apparent favoring of Li Keqiang, a strong supporter of the market economy, some assumed that this was nod in favor of Li, feeding further speculation of a change in priorities at the top of the leadership.

Hu Xijin’s Weibo post on May 17 about new opportunities, sharing a People’s Daily front page absent mention of Xi Jinping.

Speculation deepened on Wednesday, as Xi Jinping was once again absent from the front page of the People’s Daily. One article in an overseas Chinese outlet announced a “sudden change in the political scene of the Chinese Communist Party.” The article also cited as evidence the fact that on May 14 the newspaper had published in full a speech Li had delivered nearly three weeks earlier, on April 25, about anti-corruption work as the foundation of strong future economic development. The same speech was also posted online by Xinhua.

To these tea leaves we can add Li Keqiang’s tour of Yunnan University without a face mask. Was this a high-level snubbing of Xi and his persistent “zero Covid” policy?

Taking Attendance

For a moment, let’s take a breath. And let’s look more closely at the observations that began so many of these speculative readings — hinging on the key question of whether Xi Jinping is prominent or absent on the front page of the Party’s flagship newspaper.

It is certainly true that such absences can be significant. But the false reports in 2018 of an “unusual reduction” should encourage a bit more skepticism. Even if we count them correctly, how much stock should we place in such absences? How much do we need to not see of Xi before we begin to suspect profound shifts in Chinese politics?

As the abovementioned tally of absences through 2018 suggests, it was already typical by 2016 and 2017 to expect on average about 6-7 front pages without Xi Jinping in any given month. In 2018, there were on average just 1.6 front pages without Xi per month. Since the 19th National Congress of the CCP in October 2018, however, we can typically expect, according to CMP’s observations, 3 or 4 absences in any given month.

More than five absences for Xi from the People’s Daily front page in a given month would be something unusual, and this is especially the case with the approach of the 20th National Congress this fall, which should usher in wave after wave of promotion of the top leader and his ideas, policies and speeches.

Next, what exactly counts as an absence? Typically, we should be looking for any front page that does not include Xi’s full name, “general secretary” or “Chairman Xi” in a main headline (主标题), a subhead (副标题), or a column header (栏目题).

Looking carefully at People’s Daily front pages with the use of full-resolution PDF versions that allow us to see the fine print – yes, this is where CCP discourse takes us – here is what we come up with so far for May. The papers with red stars are those that do include Xi Jinping or a related reference.

People’s Daily front pages from May 1-10, pages listed from left to right, first top row and then second row.
People’s Daily front pages from May 11-19, pages listed from left to right, first top row and then second row.

So as of today, May 19, through just 61 percent of People’s Daily front pages we can expect for the month, we have four days on which Xi Jinping was absent. These were May 3, May 8, May 17 and May 18.

According to the rough benchmark mentioned above – five pages in any given month – it is distinctly possible that Xi’s absences will be one data point to watch closely into June, along with other possible signals. Another measure, for those fascinated with the shifts to be glimpsed in the pages of Party newspapers, could be the total number of articles for May mentioning various leaders on the Politburo Standing Committee. According to this measure, Xi Jinping has been the far-and-away favorite for years running, dwarfing not-even-close seconds like Premier Li. If that gap were to close in any noticeable way, that would certainly be significant.

But for those concerned by speculation about Xi Jinping’s slip from the front page, there is good news. Xi is back in the People’s Daily with a vengeance today, his name fronting all four of the top headlines. Once again, we have bright red images of the top man, beaming out over a conference on international trade.

The front page of today’s edition of the People’s Daily.

Down below, huddling under the crushing weight of the bold headlines above, we can find Li Keqiang in two faint sub-heads, one directly under a main headline that includes Xi.

China watchers are certainly right to keep a careful eye trained on the visual signals beamed out from the pages of the People’s Daily. But the signals abound, and confuse.

Taking Tedros at His Word

As festivities for the Beijing Winter Olympics kicked off earlier this year, the WHO’s director general, Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, was the toast of the town in China’s capital. On February 5, the day after attending the opening ceremony of the Games with other foreign dignitaries, he was formally welcomed by Premier Li Keqiang at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse. The next day he met with China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi (王毅), and the official People’s Daily quoted him as having praised the sporting event for “bringing unity, peace and hope to the world under the pandemic,” and for “helping everyone get through these difficult times.”

Three months later, Tedros is out in the cold. At a WHO press briefing on Tuesday, just five days after Xi Jinping signaled the leadership’s adamant resistance to any change in China’s Covid policy, the health official urged China to reconsider. “When we talk about the zero COVID strategy, we don’t think that it is sustainable considering the behavior of the virus now and what we anticipate in the future, and especially when we have now a good knowledge, understanding of the virus,” he said. “When we have good tools to use, transiting into another strategy will be very important.”

Tedros’ remarks were swiftly censored on Chinese social media, and state media have steered clear of the story. A search for coverage of “Tedros” (谭德塞) in a database of more than 300 mainland Chinese newspapers from May 10 to May 13 returns just one report from the Global Times newspaper, printed on page three of yesterday’s edition. The story, “Foreign Ministry Responds to Tedros’ Views” (外交部回应谭德塞看法), which first appeared online on May 11, is a simple reporting of a statement that day by Foreign Ministry Spokesman Zhao Lijian (赵立坚), who emphasized the efficiency of China’s “surgical lockdown” and suggested that criticisms of its policy were “irresponsible.”

The only other report on Tedros from China’s state media is an online story from the Global Times alleging that foreign media, including Reuters, willfully took the remarks of WHO officials out of context this week. The story suggests that another WHO expert expressed sympathy during the press briefing with China’s “zero Covid” policy given its immense population. In fact, no such language appears in the official WHO transcript – though Mike Ryan, executive director of the WHO’s Health Emergencies Program, did follow on Tedros’ remarks by saying that all government efforts to fight Covid-19 “should show due respect to individual and human rights.”

There has been no mention of Tedros in the past week by the official Xinhua News Agency, according to a search of the agency’s website. Searches on Weibo now turn up just a smattering of private posts, but nothing from the official accounts of Chinese state media.

It is a revealing change of fortune for a public figure who over the past two years has been touted again and again by state outlets to support China’s Covid policies. Tedros, now voicing mild and constructive criticism of China’s policies, can no longer be taken at his word.

Cherry-Picking Positivity

On May 6, the day after the meeting of the Politburo Standing Committee at which Xi Jinping signaled his resolve in sticking to “zero Covid,” Tedros was quoted repeatedly in the official People’s Daily newspaper. An “International Viewpoint” column called “Continuously Monitoring the Virus, Strengthening Prevention and Control” quoted Tedros calling on all countries to continue monitoring of Covid-19 and “not to turn a blind eye in the face of a deadly virus.” Here was the world’s top health official seeming to echo Xi’s resolve.

Tedros’ words conveyed a sense of uncertainty that seemed to justify persistence — now a favored buzzword — in dealing with Covid-19. “The threat of virus variants is very real. It remains unclear what the long-term impact of Covid infection will be,” the People’s Daily quoted the director-general as saying.

Dialing back to April, as Shanghai residents struggled, often angrily, with the effects of stringent lockdown policies, Tedros’ words again cautioned vigilance. A report in the People’s Daily read: “Countries are reporting fewer deaths, but the Covid pandemic is far from over, said WHO Director-General Tedros at a recent briefing.”

Throughout 2021, as through much of the global pandemic, Chinese state media eagerly quoted Tedros as they touted the country’s achievements and window-dressed its claims to systemic superiority.

In an article on January 9, 2021, the People’s Daily looked back on 2020 and argued for the superiority of the Chinese political system in facing the immense challenge of the pandemic. “One important aspect of measuring the success and superiority of a country’s system is its ability to call on all sides and organize all parties to respond together in the face of major risks and challenges,” the paper said.

Immediately after came a sprinkling of remarks from foreigners, a staple of propaganda reports in the Party-state media. First up was Tedros:

Tedros, director-general of the World Health Organization, exclaimed: ‘Never in my life have I seen such mobilization!’ A foreign scholar remarked: ‘The strategic, holistic, forward-looking nature of the Chinese system and its ability to mobilize national resources is unmatched by any other system.’

How many doctoral theses could be written on the deep ambivalence the Chinese Party-state media system has toward the foreign voice?

Spanish Ambassador to China Alberto Carnero Fernández is asked the loaded question in 2018: “What positive impacts has the Belt and Road Initiative had on the countries involved?”

On the one hand, the foreign voice is the truly authoritative voice, giving credibility to the claims of those in power. If Tedros speaks the Party’s convictions, then they must be legitimate. If a Western survey says Chinese people are happy their government, this must be demonstrably true. Behind this odd complex is the unfortunate fact that China has few truly credible voices – for the simple reason that its journalists and intellectuals cannot speak their minds. Propaganda reports brim with cherry-picked quotes from opposition politicians in Europe, “foreign scholars” and self-proclaimed experts of such dubious origin that their ideas can only be found in China Daily or on CGTN, or unwitting diplomats or other figures, like Tedros, whose odd remark can be plucked out of context like a bright piece of pro-China confetti.

The Party still dreams of Edgar Snow.

On the other hand, the foreign voice is fundamentally illegitimate. It cannot understand China, which is too large and complex, subject to its own mysterious “national circumstances.” The foreign voice is biased and selective, one more brick in an unbroken wall of foreign conspiracy to “blacken China” and “demonize” its government. In its most recent criticism of “foreign media” (外媒), the Global Times – which, mind you, would gladly quote The New York Times to sharpen the blade of an invective – had to claim that the WHO press briefing was “taken out of context” (断章取义).

Commenting under one of the handful of posts on Tedros’ comments to circulate on Weibo, one user expressed the ambivalence this way: “Those who have had their cities sealed off think that Tedros is being too polite, while those whose cities have not been sealed off think Tedros is meddling in [China’s] internal affairs. Actually, Chinese people don’t truly love Chinese people. They simply express their patriotism from the standpoint of the rulers. As soon as they see criticism from outsiders, they immediately react, regardless of whether they are right or wrong.”

Whatever the roots of this ambivalence, Tedros has spoken his mind. And no longer — at least for the moment — are his words of any use to those in power.